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DOES BLACK AMERICA REALLY SUPPORT OBAMA?

Posted by Tim Bryce on March 27, 2012

(Click for AUDIO VERSION)
To use this segment in a Radio broadcast or Podcast, click HERE.

A recent Gallup Poll (ending March 4th) revealed 88% of African-American voters approve of President Obama’s performance in office. Unless something radical causes them to change their minds, one can only assume the 88% will vote for the president in November. That is approximately 34 million people, which doesn’t sound too bad on the surface, but in reality he’ll likely get less than half of that. According to the U.S. Census Bureau, only 16.1 million Blacks voted in 2008, which means he can expect a comparable number in the Fall. Such a number is still respectable, but he’ll need a lot more to win reelection. Nonetheless, the president considers African-Americans his base and carefully cultivates their support, not just on his campaign site, “African Americans for Obama”, but also in a controversial video on YOUTUBE where he attempts to rally Blacks to his support. Critics claim the video is racist in that a white candidate would be chastised and berated for making a similar video specifically aimed at whites, but that is another story.

Although Obama has general approval in the African-American community, it is far from unanimous. Blacks are becoming more vocal in their displeasure with the president, particularly from two disparate groups, one with leanings to the left and the other to the right. The first group includes blacks who feel the president failed to deliver on his campaign promises for social reform and, instead, has sold out to the Washington establishment. This includes groups like the New Black Panther Party and the Black is Back coalition who feel betrayed and taken for granted by the president. The other group opposing the president are those with allegiances to the GOP, such as the National Black Republican Association. They too have a problem with the president’s social reforms, not that he has done too little but that he has gone too far, particularly with the stimulus packages, Obamacare, and excessive government spending. They have even gone so far as to formally accuse the president and the Democratic party of racism (see National Black Republican Association E-News).

Both groups are disturbed by the high unemployment rate for Blacks, particularly among those in their teens, but they disagree on how to solve the problem. Nonetheless the idea that all of Black America embraces the president is a myth. Some question his integrity and see him as simply the product of a white mother and black father, with no true connection to slavery and the Civil Rights movement, thereby questioning how well he truly understands Black Americans.

There have been attempts to start “Blacks Against Obama” web pages, both independently and on Facebook, but neither seems to be truly embraced by anyone.

Regardless of the trivial issues of the day, if the economy does not turn around, and if blacks cannot find employment, look for the president’s support among African-American voters to further erode. And if he loses his base, he will likely lose the support of other Democratic loyalists, and the election.

Keep the Faith!

Note: All trademarks both marked and unmarked belong to their respective companies.

Tim Bryce is a writer and the Managing Director of M&JB Investment Company (M&JB) of Palm Harbor, Florida and has over 30 years of experience in the management consulting field. He can be reached at timb001@phmainstreet.com

For Tim’s columns, see:
timbryce.com

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Copyright © 2012 by Tim Bryce. All rights reserved.


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3 Responses to “DOES BLACK AMERICA REALLY SUPPORT OBAMA?”

  1. Chris Terrell said

    Hello my good friend,

    I felt that I’d weight in on the interesting article with a slightly different perspective. You raise some interesting points:
    1.The current President has likely 15-18 million votes from a favorable(for him) voting bloc, and
    2.That constituency is becoming more and more disgruntled and therefore the total votes may dissipate to a measurable degree by the election in November.
    These facts are indesputable but I feel it misses the point entirely or at least I feel it misses the PROBLEM entirely. To place my comments in proper context some background of me is needed. I am a staunchly conservative Black voter(I am also a 25 year member of the Republican Party but given the Party’s pathetic performance during that same time span, I’m not bragging about it). I am also a proud member of numerous social/activist groups (i.e. NAACP) so most of my friends and family happen to be Democrats and lots of them happen to be liberal. I say this to point out that I see and have seen most of the political issues from both sides of the spectrum if you will. I believe you and I share close enough ideology beliefs to agree that extreme liberalism is not healthy in the long term for any voting bloc (Black Democrats or otherwise). But the issue isn’t the Dems…..it’s the dismal apathy of the conservatives!!!
    For the life of me, I cannot comprehend how true believers in conservatism would not, at each and every turn share, preach, and teach others how beneficial the fundamental ideas of conservatism could help so many achieve their slice of the “American Dream”. I do mean share and teach not shout and ridicule. Here’s an example, not one, NOT ONE prominent Republican candidate or political leader has bothered to attempt, in any meaningful way, to engage in a useful, informative dialogue with the Black community on looking at political issues and solutions with a different viewpoint than the traditional liberal one. Instead, we get a Newt Gingrich (how has no credibility on issues that this voting bloc cares about) pontificating upon how simple it would be to fix this complex issue or that complex issue. I would love to go on but I really didn’t want to create a too lengthy post.
    To sum up though, if you were in a stuck in a leaky house with a somewhat amateurish but caring roofer on one hand and a capable but totally apathetic, uncaring roofer on the other, who are you going to call?

    ps-It really isn’t about race at all. It’s about finding a Party that will listen and serve the needs of a constituency. I’m hoping my Republican Party figures that out one day.

    Like

    • Tim Bryce said

      Chris –

      Granted, the GOP should make an effort to develop a better dialog with the black community, but maybe they see it as a futile effort in light of a black Democratic president. Like you, I still believe they should make an effort.

      All the Best,
      Tim

      Like

  2. Tim Bryce said

    An F.N. of Caldwell, Idaho wrote…

    “If they do, they shouldn’t. He hasn’t done anything for them. The man should be wearing a Republican suit. He takes their side 9-3/4ths out of 10 times anyway.”

    A D.Q. of Oregon wrote…

    “NO big surprise that he has not kept his promises. I have no faith in the man, and did not want him as president in the first place. I am rather tired of the ‘black’ issue concerning Obama. It is offensive to me that he was elected largely due to his race(s). As Martin Luther King, Jr. said, ‘I have a dream that my four little children will one day live in a nation where they will not be judged by the color of their skin but by the content of their character.’

    That is what I want for my children, who are multi-racial by the way. And, Obama should have been elected or not elected on something more than the color of his skin.”

    A J.P. of Toronto, Ontario wrote…

    “It seems generally a good thing that anyone aspiring to be President must draw at least some support from all citizen categories. That being said, aside from Blacks, Obama seems to have majority support of what is now the largest ‘visible minority’ of Americans, namely Hispanics/Latinos. Four years ago young adults, defined as between 18 and 25, were largely in his camp, and that may have changed since. Generally, he seems to have more support among women than men, although that data is crossed by ethnic, age and location polls.

    Voter turnout matters, as you correctly observe, and in many cases gerrymandered boundaries are deliberately designed to maximize or minimize the vote power of this, that or the other category of voters. Much depends, as well, on Obama’s opponent, and also who has the most money. Party organization, ward by ward or local area by local area is also an important consideration. Ultimately, where independents decide to go may well be the crucial factor. With that in mind, if Obama can be beaten it can only be by Romney, the other Republican challengers being too far from the moderate center to appeal to independents. In the same way, Obama may find that radical liberals, disappointed with him on social issues and health care, simply do not turn out to vote for him as they did three and a half years ago or not turn out to run phone campaigns, knock on doors, and so on.”

    An M.B. of Clearwater, Florida wrote…

    “There is no doubt conservatives have a serious demographic problem, what with the much higher Hispanic birth rate compared to whites, the astronomical Muslim immigrant birthrate, brainwashed young people in our overwhelmingly liberal colleges, the way the electoral college is set up (McCain actually won, as I’m sure you already know), and blacks automatically voting for Obama (I am sure you’ve seen the Howard Stern video interview with black voters….a pathetic eye-opener to the astounding level of ignorance there).

    There are two things that make it a lot less bad than it could be though, and I just read about them. Whatever you may think about abortion, 80% of black babies are aborted, and 1/3 of all black men of voting age are convicted felons and can’t vote. I fear the game would be over if not for these counterbalances. Regardless, I have a strong gut feeling that Obummer will be elected again. God help us. We are a nation of morons.”

    TIM’S REPLY: “Not to worry, this horse race is only just beginning.”

    A B.H. of Boulder, Colorado wrote…

    “The problem I have with blacks who vote for Obama BECAUSE he’s black is the same problem I have with whites who vote for someone because he’s white. The reality is that both those groups fail to understand who they’re really voting for – because they are only concerned with EXTERNAL characteristics, not track record OR their internal values.”

    A J.S. of Skidway Lake, Michigan wrote…

    “I give very little credence to results of polls. This Gallup poll bases its results on responses from….whom? Internet users who check the box for African American? Telephone surveyors who are told by the person answering that he or she is black? Are they verified as registered voters? By whom?

    Any percentage is based on a sample of set size, since it is impossible to interview every member of any racial/social/religious/economic group. Even with a point value and margin of error, polls can be unreliable. Since our current trend is to avoid profiling, discrimination, labeling, and anything else deemed politically incorrect, how can any individual or group claim to speak for a group of people? I am afraid we are facing a re-election of this president, but my fears are based on his poor performance, not the results of polls.”

    A V.W. of Illinois wrote…

    “No matter who voted for him or who didn’t… For those who did, I hope they have seen their mistake and won’t repeat it again.”

    An M.T. of Philadelphia, Pennsylvania wrote…

    “Unfortunately, black America will support Obama regardless of what he is doing to the United States. Voting for the best candidate went out the window because he is black. That is what got him into office. Let’s hope it doesn’t keep him there.”

    Like

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