THE POLITICAL MONEY GAME
Posted by Tim Bryce on October 24, 2019
BRYCE ON POLITICS
– Donations suggest popularity.
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The donations received by political candidates is a strong indicator of their popularity. The more the candidate receives, the stronger their position becomes as it will be used for promotional purposes. The numbers for the last reporting quarter (3rd) to the Federal Election Commission (FEC) was recently concluded with some interesting results.
In the case of the Democrat Presidential Candidates, let’s look at the Top 10 candidates as reported by the FEC:
| CANDIDATE- | TOTAL $ RECEIVED- | THIRD QUARTER- |
|---|---|---|
| SANDERS, BERNARD | $74,516,657.41 | $25,300,000 |
| WARREN, ELIZABETH | $60,339,946.81 | $24,600,000 (1) |
| BUTTIGIEG, PETE | $51,549,046.28 | $19,100,000 |
| STEYER, TOM | $49,645,131.61 | $49,645,131 (2) |
| BIDEN, JOSEPH R JR | $37,785,260.96 | $15,700,000 (3) |
| HARRIS, KAMALA D. | $36,940,238.03 | $11,700,000 |
| DELANEY, JOHN K. | $27,198,228.24 | $ 500,000 |
| BOOKER, CORY A. | $18,494,484.80 | $ 6,000,000 |
| O’ROURKE, ROBERT BETO | $18,184,974.91 | $ 4,500,000 |
| KLOBUCHAR, AMY J. | $17,516,387.53 | $ 4,800,000 |
1. Significant upswing in donations, offsetting former VP Biden, and approaching Sen. Sanders’ numbers.
2. 95.9% was donated by the candidate personally.
3. Down $7M from last quarter.
Perhaps the most illuminating number, in terms of donations, is that of Sen. Elizabeth Warren’s, which picked up considerable steam in the third quarter. While her donations grew rapidly, former VP Joe Biden’s numbers have been plummeting, perhaps due to the controversy surrounding his participation in his son’s business dealings in the Ukraine and China. Whatever the reason, Sen. Warren has replaced the former VP as the front runner.
Many of the candidates are spending more cash than they receive in donations, particularly Sen. Amy Klobuchar, Former Rep. Beto O’Rourke, Sen. Kamala Harris, and Sen. Cory Booker. Unless they can get a sudden uptick in popularity and substantial cash infusion, it is just a matter of time before they are forced out of the race.
The donations received by the Democrats pale in comparison to the $165M received thus far by President Trump. This does not include the millions also received by the Republican Party. In fact, the Trump campaign has cash reserves of $83.2M, which is more than the top three Democrat candidates combined. Not only is President Trump getting more donations than the Democrats, it appears his campaign knows how to manage their financial resources better.
More than anything, House Speaker Pelosi’s call for an impeachment inquiry triggered a huge response from the president’s supporters who donated generously to his re-election campaign. Such a response was anticipated as this accusation galvanized the Republicans to come to the aid of their president. In other words, it could be construed, the call for impeachment is the best thing that could happen to President Trump’s re-election.
Interestingly, none of the candidates thus far have asked for money from the Presidential Election Fund as found on our IRS 1040 forms. Maybe they are waiting until the final nominees are announced. If they do not use it though, why are we bothering with it?
No matter how you slice it, all of these donations, be it related to the Democrats or Republicans, is an obnoxious amount of money which we should be using for better things, such as repairing our infrastructure, the war on drugs, paying off the national debt, etc. Instead, it will inevitably go to the news media, thereby compounding our problem with fake news, which I personally regard as ridiculous.
Keep the Faith!
P.S. – Also do not forget my new books, “How to Run a Nonprofit” and “Tim’s Senior Moments”, both available in Printed and eBook form.
Note: All trademarks both marked and unmarked belong to their respective companies.
Tim Bryce is a writer and the Managing Director of M&JB Investment Company (M&JB) of Palm Harbor, Florida and has over 40 years of experience in the management consulting field. He can be reached at timb1557@gmail.com
For Tim’s columns, see: timbryce.com
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Copyright © 2019 by Tim Bryce. All rights reserved.
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THE BRYCE IS RIGHT! 
The Political Money Game – Dr. Rich Swier said
[…] NOTE: This Bryce is Right column is republished with permission. © All rights reserved. All trademarks both marked and […]
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Dr. Rich Swier said
Great. Published: http://bit.ly/3405FeR
Rich
On Thu, Oct 24, 2019 at 6:30 AM THE BRYCE IS RIGHT! wrote:
> Tim Bryce posted: “BRYCE ON POLITICS – Donations suggest popularity. Click > for AUDIO VERSION. To use this segment in a Radio broadcast or Podcast, > send TIM a request. The donations received by political candidates is a > strong indicator of their popularity. The more the ” >
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Lawrence P. Marlin said
Another outstanding column by Tim Bryce. I never fail to read his work. Let me also second his recommendation for the book “Rules for Deplorables”. Ms. Chamberlain does an excellent job of suggesting ways to fight “Rules for Radicals”. She presents a very well documented book, and she is obviously well informed.
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