SUPER TUESDAY DEFINES THE DEMOCRAT PARTY
Posted by Tim Bryce on March 4, 2020
BRYCE ON POLITICS
– What have we learned?
By now, most of us know the results of the Super Tuesday voting. Former VP Joe Biden, made a come from behind charge, and Sen. Bernie Sanders did well out West and in his home state of Vermont. I found the results illuminating, particularly how it defines the interests of the Democrats.
A couple of weeks ago, I wrote a column on which direction the Democrats were heading. At the time, the Iowa Caucus and New Hampshire primary were behind us and the results showed a 60%-40% split in the party (Traditionalists vs. Far-Left). As I mentioned then, we would have a clearer picture of the character of the party following Super Tuesday (yesterday) and, Yes, it has indeed come more into focus.
I have been doing some number crunching today and found on Super Tuesday, over 10.7 million Democrats voted. When you combine the total votes cast for Sen. Bernie Sanders and Sen. Elizabeth Warren, representing the Far-Left interests of the party, you come up with 48.1%, leaving 51.9% for Traditionalist candidates such as former VP Joe Biden, Mayors Pete Buttigieg and Mike Bloomberg (both of whom have bowed out of the race), et al. This is substantially different than the 60/40 split I originally mentioned. Frankly, the party is now split down the middle.
Considerable pressure will be placed on Sen. Elizabeth Warren to exit the race as she has failed to win anything substantial, and consider this; if Sen. Warren had been out of the race, Sen. Sanders would have likely beaten VP Biden in Maine, Massachusetts, Minnesota, Oklahoma, and Texas (not so in Traditionalist states such as Alabama, Arkansas, North Carolina, Tennessee, and Virginia). To combat this, look for a cash infusion into Sen. Warren’s campaign from Traditionalist supporters who want to keep her in the race in order to derail Sen. Sanders campaign.
The most important point to make here is that the personality of the party has split from 60/40 to a near 50/50 split. If the Traditionalist Democrats wrestle the nomination from Sen. Sanders, watch for him to exit the party with his constituents and create a new third party, e.g., “The Democrat Socialists.” It is also conceivable his group would take over an existing party, such as the Green Party, or Socialist Party USA. Either way, the split would be the death knell of the Democrats, at least for the 2020 election.
Keep the Faith!
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Tim Bryce is an author, freelance writer and management consultant residing in Palm Harbor, Florida. He is available for lectures and interviews.
Copyright © 2020 by Tim Bryce. All rights reserved.
THE BRYCE IS RIGHT! 
Wayne Brown said
A third-party candidate on the Left will surely be the demise of the Dems in 2020, and, I feel certain that Sanders is headed that way due, much in part, in the insincerity of the traditional Dems to keep him from the nomination. I was thinking that Bloomberg might be the spoiler here in doing just that but he apparently saw the hand-writing on the wall and the money (mostly his) going right down the drain. This situation reminds me very much of the circumstance when Ross Perot split the Republican side causing Bush to lose re-election the Bill Clinton. With Bloomberg endorsing Biden, at least there will be some cash infusion into the Biden camp–something sorely needed prior to Super Tuesday. ~WB
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Tim Bryce said
An H.N. of East Lake, Florida wrote…
“Loved your article. Excellent analysis of the Dem party. Hope you are right and the party splits up!”
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Lawrence P. Marlin said
Interesting analysis. I think you make a good point.
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